Intel 14nm Processor shortages continue until mid-2019 (+ Open letter Update)
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sverek
Intel got envy of Nvidia and AMD's GPU shortages caused by BitMining, so they created their own shortage! Genius!
Guess it's a new trend to create shortages and sell for more.
ThEcLiT
What is happening to PC Gaming? I really don't like this...
tunejunky
hey Hilbert, not quite the windfall for Intel as you hinted. most of the oem sales are case and tray prices to start with (at lower prices), it's Compal et al who are marking up the price to compensate for the loss of bulk.
AMD is delighted because of the Xeon issues, just in time for Epyc and Ryzen Pro. Epyc was already forecasted to steal 5% in servers...looks to be much, much more considering lower power/ heat/ "moar" cores.
Jagman
This will help AMD for sure and when Zen 2 / Ryzen 3 appears in 6 months or so, things will get even better for them.
P.S. To AMD, please send me a Zen 2 engineering sample for me to try out (with motherboard) 😀
Endymion
Madness.
H83
tunejunky
H83, you can shine my apples anytime you want.
meaning (if not lost in translation), you are looking at a silver lining on dark clouds. everything you said is true, but lacks the important context of the market and Intel's reputation.
and i love Intel (if not their management).
this year, Intel became for the first time the second largest fabricator in the world. after almost inventing the category and leading it against all competition for decades.
and only for the reason of bad management and lack of capital investment at the wrong time.
the eight-ball they're behind is of their own making and being philosophically trapped by what had worked before.
corporately, Intel is going through Kubler-Ross' diagnoses of loss. they are just out of denial and are progressing, but slowly.
D3M1G0D
Looks like Intel has provided an update on the supply situation:
https://newsroom.intel.com/news-releases/supply-update/
m4dn355
So basically, it's a checkmate for intel until 2020!?
EspHack
cant wait for phone hardware shortages, and car shortages, who knows maybe even a plastic shortage, so credit cards and disposable forks get x68 pricing and so on, its a brilliant business strategy and thanks to the korean nand flash cartel everyone can now join in on the party
Quicks
Certainly seems that way, started with ram and now everybody is like they got away with it, lets join in...
Herem
If 7nm Ryzen matches or beats Intel this is really bad news for Intel. In the past when this happened they stopped AMD by flooding the market with cheap processors through the major manufacturers. If Intel have no capacity this option won't be available. AMD need to strike while the iron is hot.
Neo Cyrus
Valerys
This is absolutely ridiculous. Where I live the mainstream Intel CPU prices went up 20-25% and the performance/dollar is skewed off badly in favor of AMD. At the moment Ryzen 1700 is the same price as i5 8400, only a gaming purist would go for Intel now.
moo100times
At the end of the day, Intel can have or declare shortages and change their prices accordingly, as can all the resellers of their products. The market, personal and business, shall be what decides if any of this is a viable strategy in the long run. As long as AMD continues to put out a competitive product at an equivalent or better price point, they will eat into Intel's sales now, but also Intel will risk eating into their own rep and sales, which will create much more long term damage.
Furthermore, Intel screwed themselves at their own game in the long term, and really flies in the face of that "customers first" approach in that open letter. The rapid changing in socket between generations does mean that if people are looking to upgrade anything, there is no real question around sticking to Intel CPU's to reduce overall cost, as they will likely need a whole new set of kit, which means that total cost of new system will make AMD a viable option where it otherwise might not have been if an upgrade path had been available.
And lastly "You can expect us to stay close, listen, partner and keep you informed." - call me cynical, but last time they partnered up this closely they tried to illegally drive AMD out of the market with "rebates" and other unfair practices, and whilst they were caught the damage was already done. I would not be surprised if they tried to play the same game again, particularly as we saw Nvidia trying a similar tactic recently with their GPP program from an already leading dominant position. Seems there is little to deter companies in the dominant positions. $3 billion in fines is nothing when you make $20 billion in revenue a year from the end result of your practice.
tunejunky
wow...i really think it would be instructive for the board members at Intel to read this thread.
chasing short term profits and taking the market for granted should never happen at the same time. and the market should never be taken for granted at all. there has to be some focus on the short term, just from the statistical standpoint. but overskewing the ROI (return on Investment) by cutting the investment leaves you open to what is happening now.
and because of that Intel has zero capacity to flood the market with anything comparable to Ryzen+, let alone Ryzen 2. only a handful of Engineering fabs can make 14nm, only one is doing 10nm and is only making vapor.
they've a crap ton of 22nm fabs, which is why those are now doing low end chipsets, with TSMC doing the high end chipsets (at 14nm).
so yeah...they're fighting with one hand tied behind their back. whether or not oems trust them again after this cycle will remain to be seen. 10th gen Intel may well not be inside.
waltc3
tunejunky
stupid human tricks part MCMLXXXVIII...Intel version.
forgot to bring this up, but it's extremely relevant...
Intel has been ramping up contract fabbing vs. their perceived (and not realized) declining pc market.
the thing is, that isn't bad except when....
you are making more Apple modems @14nm than their own products.
85,000,000 to 100,000,000 14nm modems under contract just might be crimping their style.
and yet, despite the knowledge of Apple's needs (that must be answered) and their knowledge of what it takes to launch a new generation of products, Intel chose to sit on their hands instead of recapitalizing their 22nm fabs to 14nm.
just plain stupid and greedy. do the divisions even talk to each other?
D3M1G0D
Fox2232