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SSDs Could Reach 0.8 cents per GB next year
The land of DRAM and NAND are highly volatile, however, for NAND there's currently a ton of developments as well as overproduction. And that means good news for NAND flash storage if you are a consumer. New reports indicate that by 2019 NAND could hit prices as low as 8 cents per GB, and that brings is at HDD price levels.
At last week’s Flash Memory Summit is was confirmed that the market is in an over-supply situation, the result would be a downward pricing correction, 64-layer 3D NAND at $0.08/GB in 2019. Reports the register. Add to that the development of QLC NAND (4bits/cell) and it is bound that SSD pricing will go down. Price correction will take several quarters. Also, keep in mind that these comments might be based on industry experts (IDC and DRAMeXchange data), but they're not a guarantee for this top happen.
Venix
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Joined: 2016-08-01
Senior Member
Posts: 1457
Joined: 2016-08-01
#5574307 Posted on: 08/16/2018 10:41 AM
1000x0.08 = 80 usd ...so we might see 1tb drives 100 / sub 100 usd ? bring it on ! although i guess it is for qlc nand ones
1000x0.08 = 80 usd ...so we might see 1tb drives 100 / sub 100 usd ? bring it on ! although i guess it is for qlc nand ones
fOrTy_7
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Posts: 345
Joined: 2005-06-18
Senior Member
Posts: 345
Joined: 2005-06-18
#5574309 Posted on: 08/16/2018 10:59 AM
Yeah I doubt that.
"64-layer 3D NAND at $0.08/GB in 2019" - doesn't mean SSD $0.08/GB.
SSD conteins much more that just NAND memory, you need a controller chip for that NAND, SLC/DRAM cache, firmware, PCB and case which will definitelly add much more to the price.
It will be most beneficial for producers as always, it will allow them to reduce actual costs of production per single device unit, but I doubt you will see huge if any price drops on customer end.
Another misinforming article on guru3d.
1000x0.08 = 80 usd ...so we might see 1tb drives 100 / sub 100 usd ? bring it on ! although i guess it is for qlc nand ones
Yeah I doubt that.
"64-layer 3D NAND at $0.08/GB in 2019" - doesn't mean SSD $0.08/GB.
SSD conteins much more that just NAND memory, you need a controller chip for that NAND, SLC/DRAM cache, firmware, PCB and case which will definitelly add much more to the price.
It will be most beneficial for producers as always, it will allow them to reduce actual costs of production per single device unit, but I doubt you will see huge if any price drops on customer end.
Another misinforming article on guru3d.
RzrTrek
Senior Member
Posts: 2525
Joined: 2012-04-16
Senior Member
Posts: 2525
Joined: 2012-04-16
#5574314 Posted on: 08/16/2018 11:27 AM
Looks like I will get that $99 1TB M.2 sooner than I thought, but I reckon it will cost at least $149 by the time it has been built.
Looks like I will get that $99 1TB M.2 sooner than I thought, but I reckon it will cost at least $149 by the time it has been built.
Kaarme
Senior Member
Posts: 2214
Joined: 2013-03-10
Senior Member
Posts: 2214
Joined: 2013-03-10
#5574315 Posted on: 08/16/2018 11:31 AM
It will be most beneficial for producers as always, it will allow them to reduce actual costs of production per single device unit, but I doubt you will see huge if any price drops on customer end.
Another misinforming article on guru3d.
There are dozens of SSD manufacturers competing with each others. If the NAND prices for the SSD manufacturers get cheaper, competition will handle the rest. With DRAM that's exactly the problem: The manufacturers can't get the chips for sensible prices, so the competition can't do anything, despite there being a whole bunch of memory module brands as well. Not too long ago SSDs were considerably more expensive because there was a bad undersupply of NAND chips. That was somehow sorted out, but DRAM is still scarce and the few chip makers no doubt have made some clandestine deals to keep the situation unchanged.
It will be most beneficial for producers as always, it will allow them to reduce actual costs of production per single device unit, but I doubt you will see huge if any price drops on customer end.
Another misinforming article on guru3d.
There are dozens of SSD manufacturers competing with each others. If the NAND prices for the SSD manufacturers get cheaper, competition will handle the rest. With DRAM that's exactly the problem: The manufacturers can't get the chips for sensible prices, so the competition can't do anything, despite there being a whole bunch of memory module brands as well. Not too long ago SSDs were considerably more expensive because there was a bad undersupply of NAND chips. That was somehow sorted out, but DRAM is still scarce and the few chip makers no doubt have made some clandestine deals to keep the situation unchanged.
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I imagine the ever hungry phone industry will suck some of the production. Middle level phones would then get much bigger mass storage. 16GB has been fairly common, but it would be replaced by 32GB as the new norm, and 64GB would be for manufacturers to attract particular attention. That's how less would be available to PC SSDs, making the prices not drop so much. Since DRAM prices aren't dropping that much, maybe we will see more of those bare bones SSDs, without any buffer memory, that attempt to leech on the system memory to compensate.