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Prices of 512 GB SSDs will drop below $ 0.1 per GB by the end of the year
Good news if you are planning to purchase some SSD storage later this year, the ongoing drop in prices for NAND is just that, ongoing and will reach a price of less than 10 Cents per GB by the end of the year.
Average contract prices for 512GB and 1TB SSDs have a chance to plunge below US$0.1 per GB by the end of this year, hitting an all-time low. This change will cause 512GB SSDs to replace their 128GB counterparts and become market mainstream, second only to 256GB SSDs. We may also look forward to PCIe SSDs achieving 50% market penetration, since PCIe SSDs and SATA SSDS are nearly identical in price.
TrendForce points out that SSD adoption among notebooks had already come above the 50% threshold in 2018. Contract prices for mainstream 128/256/512GB SSDs have fallen a long way by over 50% since peaking in 2017, and those for 512GB and 1TB SSDs have a chance to fall below US$0.1 per GB by year-end. This will stimulate demand from those seeking to replace their 500GB and 1TB HDDs. SSD adoption rate is expected to land between 60 and 65% in 2019.
2Q Average Contract Prices for SSDs to Fall by Double Digits, May Drop by Less in 3Q
According to TrendForce's latest investigations, 2Q19 marks the 6th consecutive quarter of average contract price decline for mainstream PC-Client OEM SSDs, with the average contract price for SATA SSDs falling QoQ by 15-26%, and PCIe SSDs by 16-37 %.
The reasons for the continuous price fall in 2Q include: weakened stocking momentum due to the cautious stance of PC, smartphones, servers/datacenters OEMs towards end market sales and high inventory levels, leading to an overly oversupplied NAND flash market; prices wars by leading SSD suppliers who are keen to get their 64/72-layer stocks off their hands; and the price comparison effect as a result of Intel 3D QLC SSDs.
The demand side will be helped by the traditional peak season and increased stocking demand from the new Apple devices, possibly seeing an improvement over 1H in 3Q looking forward. Furthermore, many NAND flash suppliers are slowing expansion plans and have declared reductions in production to curtail supply. Yet judging from the rather high inventories along this chain of industry, TrendForce predicts that average contract prices for mainstream SSD capacities will likely continue their descent, although with a slope less steep.
Price Differences Greatly Narrow, with PCIe to Replace SATA Interfaces as Market Mainstream
Judging from the product progress of each SSD supplier, all mainstream product lines have already switched to 64/72 layer SSDs with 256/512GB capacities and PCIe interfaces as their main products. The newest 96-layer SSD has also gradually entered production in 1Q this year. Additionally, judging from average contract prices in the second quarter, current prices for Premium PCIe SSDs and SATA SSDs only differ by under 6%, while value grade PCIe SSDs and SATA SSDs register a nearly 0% difference. PCIe interfaces, with the help of value grade PCIe SSDs, will replace SATA interfaces to become market mainstream this year
Samsung announces prices of new 2019 8k and 4k TVs in QLED series - 03/01/2019 06:08 PM
We recently discussed the new Samsung TV lineup for 2019 where 8K will make an introduction, as well as new local, dimmed QLED HDR10+ models. Samsung Netherlands just released the prices....
Nvidia Doubling Up prices on GeForce GXT 2080? Tackling Some Rumors - 03/02/2018 10:29 AM
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AMD Ryzen and Threadripper Prices Over The Weekend Dropped Significantly - 11/20/2017 09:14 AM
Here in the EU something is going on, I can only speak for the EU and specifically Netherlands and Germany right now, but there has been price drops spotted on AMD Ryzen processors up-to 30%, For exam...
Photos and prices of MSI Z370 motherboards leak - 09/14/2017 06:57 PM
Photos of MSI Z370 motherboards for Intel Coffee Lake processors have surfaced on the web. It looks like MSI will release no less than nine different Z370 motherboards. ...
GeForce prices on the rise as well due to cryptocurrency mining - 06/21/2017 06:39 AM
Much like the Radeon Rx 400 and 500 series, NVIDIA cards are getting less available as well due to increased interests in mining. Though the price increase is relatively low, some specific GTX 1060 m...
Astyanax
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Posts: 9524
Joined: 2018-03-21
Senior Member
Posts: 9524
Joined: 2018-03-21
#5668742 Posted on: 05/14/2019 01:05 AM
once ps5 and xboxtwo go full production, nand prices are going to go back up.
once ps5 and xboxtwo go full production, nand prices are going to go back up.
sverek
Senior Member
Posts: 6074
Joined: 2011-01-02
Senior Member
Posts: 6074
Joined: 2011-01-02
#5668841 Posted on: 05/14/2019 08:59 AM
That not how market works. Planned increased demand = increased production = same or even lower prices.
It's not bitcoin that came out of nowhere.
once ps5 and xboxtwo go full production, nand prices are going to go back up.
That not how market works. Planned increased demand = increased production = same or even lower prices.
It's not bitcoin that came out of nowhere.
Astyanax
Senior Member
Posts: 9524
Joined: 2018-03-21
Senior Member
Posts: 9524
Joined: 2018-03-21
#5668865 Posted on: 05/14/2019 09:54 AM
its a supply based market, demand goes up, supply doesn't go up, prices do.
its a supply based market, demand goes up, supply doesn't go up, prices do.
fantaskarsef
Senior Member
Posts: 12057
Joined: 2014-07-21
Senior Member
Posts: 12057
Joined: 2014-07-21
#5668867 Posted on: 05/14/2019 09:57 AM
once ps5 and xboxtwo go full production, nand prices are going to go back up.
That not how market works. Planned increased demand = increased production = same or even lower prices.
It's not bitcoin that came out of nowhere.
its a supply based market, demand goes up, supply doesn't go up, prices do.
I think by now we could agree, that the PC business does not always follow "normal" market developments. Price fixing is a thing, so don't expect anything to go down normally.
And it's not just the consoles, it's about phones as well. Samsung sells no fodable phones? Probably less demand already there.
once ps5 and xboxtwo go full production, nand prices are going to go back up.
That not how market works. Planned increased demand = increased production = same or even lower prices.
It's not bitcoin that came out of nowhere.
its a supply based market, demand goes up, supply doesn't go up, prices do.
I think by now we could agree, that the PC business does not always follow "normal" market developments. Price fixing is a thing, so don't expect anything to go down normally.
And it's not just the consoles, it's about phones as well. Samsung sells no fodable phones? Probably less demand already there.
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Senior Member
Posts: 8933
Joined: 2006-10-29
I need a bigger SSD when i upgrade to Zen2.
Still trying to decide wether to get 512GB or 1TB.
Currently have a Crucial M4 256GB from 2011.
Go for the 1TB my friend as i'm in that same position. I actually have a 512GB Nvme and with 3 games installed on it and all the software i use it ran out of space real quick.
I'm looking forward for a 1TB or 2TB Nvme for a fair price hopefully soon.