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Intel CPUs: Ten-year plan to includes 1.4nm and a two-year cadence
Intel has the means to return to a new process technology every two-years with a new roadmap showing 10nm up-to 1.4nm fabrication processors, it was ASML that made this slide public, not Intel.
At this year's conference for electronic components IEDM, ASML Dutch manufacturer of lithography systems ASML spoke about the future of Intel's process technology. According to a slide presented by CEO Martin van den Brink, Intel even wants to start manufacturing in 1.4 nanometers ten years from now.
First things first, 10 nm production is due in three iterations, which has already started with Ice Lake for low- and ultra-low-voltage devices and will be completed in 2021 with 10nm ++ and 10nm+++. In the same year, 7 nm mass production using the Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) process would begin. Much like 10nm, the 7nm nodes are to be given three revisions as well, which, however, are each identified without a plus (x nm), with a plus (x nm +) and with two plus signs (x nm ++).
In 2021, Ponte Vecchio (GPU) based on the Xe architecture is to be the first 7 nm representative of Intel to be produced in series, although initially for Exascale servers. Two-year cadence, but no concrete figures (yes they mentioned 2021).
The releases slide then shows 5nm for 2023, 3nm and 2nm in 2025 and 2027, and then 1.4 nm in 2029. Fun fact, 1.4 nm is the thickness of only twelve silicon atoms
TSMC will start mass-producing 5 nm chips as early as next year and aim to boost the mass production of 3 nm products in 2022, the figures quoted by ASML do not appear to be unrealistic, even if Intel recently found it difficult who struggled with 10nm manufacturing.
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cryohellinc
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#5740955 Posted on: 12/13/2019 09:14 AM
Intel plans....
Intel plans....
Andy Watson
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#5740960 Posted on: 12/13/2019 09:31 AM
Perhaps that slide should be titled "No Moore we trust"
Seriously though, it's all well and good having these multiyear road plans but they are subject to change and are really just a best case scenario. This actually is more what the EUV manufacturer can provide than what Intel will be doing....
Perhaps that slide should be titled "No Moore we trust"
Seriously though, it's all well and good having these multiyear road plans but they are subject to change and are really just a best case scenario. This actually is more what the EUV manufacturer can provide than what Intel will be doing....
Kaarme
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#5740963 Posted on: 12/13/2019 09:33 AM
I kind of trust more in TSMC's plans than Intel's. Although one has to respect Intel engineers for being able to stretch the 14nm so far, as an achievement, not as a plan, especially since they didn't do much to the designs, sticking to the same old Core architecture all the way. In other words, they got the clocks so high they could still keep beating AMD in single-threaded performance, despite AMD refining a modern architecture on 7nm. In still other words you could say the Intel engineers could pull it off with both hands tied behind their backs by the not overly smart but all the greedier Intel execs and CEO (who have since been replaced, I believe).
I kind of trust more in TSMC's plans than Intel's. Although one has to respect Intel engineers for being able to stretch the 14nm so far, as an achievement, not as a plan, especially since they didn't do much to the designs, sticking to the same old Core architecture all the way. In other words, they got the clocks so high they could still keep beating AMD in single-threaded performance, despite AMD refining a modern architecture on 7nm. In still other words you could say the Intel engineers could pull it off with both hands tied behind their backs by the not overly smart but all the greedier Intel execs and CEO (who have since been replaced, I believe).
sverek
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#5740965 Posted on: 12/13/2019 09:35 AM
Intel in 2030 : We put dot in "1.4nm" by mistake.
Also Intel : Instead let us introduce this awesome 14nm+++++++++++++++ Coke-Cola Lake!
Intel in 2030 : We put dot in "1.4nm" by mistake.
Also Intel : Instead let us introduce this awesome 14nm+++++++++++++++ Coke-Cola Lake!
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Hi Hilbert, and happy Xmas to you all. That is interesting and hard to get my head round. What wattage and what heat will be given in years to come?
Cpu's have come a long way, well the whole tech has. A 286 and then an Athlon are few of the chips I have owned. My favourite Cpu for what it did has to be the i7920 @2.66. This in my mind was Intel's wonder chip, a 2.66Ghz that could go 4Ghz and higher. That was the OC's heaven.